Executives at three asset administration companies agreed throughout a Feb. 13 panel dialogue that pending spot Ethereum ETFs have a 50% probability of approval this Might.
Matt Hougan, World Head of Analysis for Bitwise Asset Administration, mentioned
“I feel it’s possible we’ll get an ETH ETF fairly quickly. I feel there’s a 50/50 probability by Might … “
Steve Kurz, World Head of Galaxy Asset Administration, agreed that there’s a 50% probability of a spot Ethereum ETF approval by Might. He additionally predicted a 75% probability by the top of 2024.
Dave LaValle, World Head of ETFs at Grayscale, additionally positioned approval odds at 50% by Might. On whether or not Grayscale would sue the U.S. Securities and Change Fee (SEC) within the occasion of a rejection, LaValle mentioned: “We’ll have to attend and see the way it performs out. Now we have to take a look at the info.”
Grayscale beforehand compelled the SEC to evaluate its spot Bitcoin ETF software by way of authorized motion. The SEC cited the case as one purpose for approving spot Bitcoin ETFs in January.
The 50% odds expressed by every govt broadly align with different predictions. JP Morgan member Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou believes there’s a 50% probability {that a} spot Ethereum ETF might be accepted in Might. Bloomberg ETF analyst James Seyffart — a colleague of Eric Balchunas, who hosted right now’s panel dialogue — has predicted 60% approval odds. Lastly, a Polymarket prediction market means that approval odds by the top of Might are 48%.
Eight companies intend to supply an ETH ETF
Of the three companies listed above, solely Grayscale and Galaxy (in partnership with Invesco) have a spot Ethereum ETF software pending with regulators.
Different spot Ethereum ETF candidates embrace VanEck, ARK and 21Shares, Hashdex, BlackRock (iShares), Constancy, and Franklin Templeton.
The SEC should approve or reject VanEck’s software by Might 23. Although it won’t essentially approve the fund, it’ll probably resolve on different comparable purposes on the identical time.
No spot Ethereum ETF exists on the US market at current. Bitwise at present presents two Ethereum futures ETFs, which don’t present publicity to the spot Ethereum market. Grayscale presents an Ethereum Belief and an Ethereum Futures Belief, each of which it intends to transform to ETFs. Many different asset managers additionally provide Ethereum futures ETFs.
On the time of press 10:31 pm UTC on Feb. 13, 2024, Ethereum is ranked #2 by market cap and the value is down 0.73% over the previous 24 hours. Ethereum has a market capitalization of $315.64 billion with a 24-hour buying and selling quantity of $18.89 billion. Be taught extra about Ethereum ›
On the time of press 10:31 pm UTC on Feb. 13, 2024, the full crypto market is valued at at $1.85 trillion with a 24-hour quantity of $79.5 billion. Bitcoin dominance is at present at 52.41%. Be taught extra in regards to the crypto market ›
