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The “Compliant Citizen” Dilemma and the “Civic Dividend” of Bitcoin | by Daii | The Capital | Jun, 2025

June 10, 2025
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After the closure of home platforms, Chinese language merchants turned to abroad markets, and the worldwide Bitcoin buying and selling panorama modified accordingly.

As I famous in 2021, among the many world’s ten largest economies, solely China prohibited banks and fee establishments from collaborating in Bitcoin buying and selling. This sample has remained largely unchanged. In main economies reminiscent of the US, Japan, Germany, the UK, and South Korea, Bitcoin stays authorized and freely tradable.

Since 2022, international financial turbulence and frequent rate of interest hikes by the U.S. Federal Reserve have drawn capital away from rising markets again to the U.S., putting further strain on China’s economic system.

Notably after Donald Trump returned to energy, U.S. coverage on digital belongings underwent a vital shift — from resistance to strategic absorption.

In 2024, Trump signed the Bitcoin Reserve Act, formally recognizing Bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset eligible for inclusion on the federal government steadiness sheet. The just lately handed GENIUS Act (Governing Digital Networks for Issued US-stablecoins) offered clear compliance pathways for stablecoins reminiscent of USDC and USDT. These will not be simply technical coverage shifts however front-line maneuvers in a contest over financial sovereignty.

In comparison with the U.S., which is leveraging Bitcoin to counter inflation and reinforce its financial dominance, China is extra targeted on sustaining industrial output, exports, and employment. With a still-dominant manufacturing base, China’s monetary coverage isn’t aimed toward dominating international asset pricing, however somewhat at buffering the uncertainties of home financial restructuring.

In response to Trump’s Commerce Conflict 2.0 — revived tariffs, provide chain disruptions, and tightened chip sanctions — China wants a steady monetary atmosphere to soak up exterior shocks. “Stability” right here means distancing itself from all high-volatility belongings, irrespective of how revolutionary.

Bitcoin, by nature risky and speculative, may — if tied to home monetary markets — set off a contagion of speculative habits and secondary monetary dangers.

Thus, tightening regulation doesn’t outright deny Bitcoin’s worth, however acts as a buffer zone, delaying potential shocks to China’s monetary system. With this context in thoughts, the challenges you face in shifting funds out and in of crypto change into simpler to know.



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Tags: BitcoinCapitalcitizenCivicCompliantDaiiDilemmadividendJun
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