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Fed Pauses Interest Rate Cuts as Bitcoin Falls Below $88K

February 12, 2026
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Bitcoin pared some beneficial properties after the Federal Reserve stored rates of interest regular as broadly anticipated, retreating from the $90,000 mark after reclaiming it for the primary time since final Friday, and dropping beneath $88,000.

The world’s largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization was down 1.2% within the final 24 hours, buying and selling at $87,862 as of 03:53 a.m. EST, with a 13% bounce in buying and selling exercise and buying and selling quantity hovering to $49.7 billion.  

The drop got here amid a 1.1% decline in crypto market capitalization to $3.06 trillion. 

Because of the sudden transfer, whole liquidations totaled $345.63 million, with BTC longs at $112.36 million, in response to Coinglass information.

Fed Pauses Curiosity Price Cuts

The US Federal Reserve left rates of interest unchanged this month, protecting them at 3.50%-3.75% following the newest Fed assembly, which concluded on Wednesday. In December, the Fed reduce rates of interest by 25 foundation factors.

Fed officers really useful a wait-and-see method given sticky inflation and a decent labor market. Usually, increased rates of interest enhance the chance price of holding yield-bearing belongings resembling U.S. Treasury securities.

🚨FED pauses fee cuts for the primary time since mid 2025.

Inflation nonetheless elevated, uncertainty excessive, easing cycle probably close to its finish. pic.twitter.com/HtM1Py2flg

— Wall Avenue Gold (@WSBGold) January 28, 2026

This, in flip, reduces the enchantment of risk-on belongings resembling Bitcoin and equities, which seems to be the case over the previous 24 hours.

Alternatively, decrease rates of interest usually assist non-yielding belongings resembling Bitcoin by lowering the chance price of holding them.

Futures contracts for the S&P 500 Index, as an illustration, dipped by as a lot as 0.52% on Jan. 29, mirroring Bitcoin’s decline on the identical day.

Geopolitics Provides To The Danger-Off Temper, As Buyers Flip To Protected-Haven Belongings

Tensions between the US and Iran escalated this week, after the US President Donald Trump informed Tehran time was working out and that an enormous armada was shifting shortly in direction of the nation “with nice energy, enthusiasm and goal”.

Trump stated: “Hopefully Iran will shortly ‘Come to the Desk’ and negotiate a good and equitable deal – NO NUCLEAR WEAPONS – one that’s good for all events. Time is working out, it’s actually of the essence!”

It was the starkest indication but from Trump that he intends to mount some sort of army strike imminently if Iran refuses to barter a deal on the way forward for its nuclear programme. 

Bitcoin Worth Nonetheless in an Indecision Part

After reaching the $126,200 all-time excessive in early October, the Bitcoin worth fell right into a sustained decline, reaching the long-term assist space round $80,629. This degree then turned a robust demand space, pushing the worth as much as a restoration across the $95,500 degree.

This space now acts as a robust barrier to the upside, serving as a cushion in opposition to downward strain, with the BTC worth now held inside a sideways sample.

After hitting the $97,808 resistance on January 14, Bitcoin pulled again, with the 0.618 Fibonacci degree ($86,803) now offering assist.

The current drop has pushed the worth of BTC down beneath the 50-day Easy Shifting Common (SMA), supporting the present bearish outlook, however nonetheless above its present assist space.

Furthermore, the Relative Power Index (RSI) has been buying and selling between 37 and 47, indicating continued indecision amongst buyers.

BTC/USD Chart Evaluation Supply: TradingView

BTC Worth At A Important Juncture

Bitcoin seems to be at a essential juncture, with worth motion consolidating inside a variety following a pointy corrective transfer.

The market is presently holding above a key demand space close to the lower-range assist, suggesting that consumers are nonetheless defending this zone regardless of the present bearish strain. If BTC can stabilize above the 88,000–89,000 area and reclaim short-term resistance, a reduction transfer towards the 93,000–95,000 space turns into more and more probably as sellers lose momentum.

Conversely, failure to carry present assist would weaken the consolidation construction and enhance the likelihood of continuation towards decrease assist ranges close to the prior vary lows.

On this case, if BTC drops beneath the 0.618 Fib degree, the following doable assist is on the 0.786 Fib degree round $84,302, adopted by the $80,629 degree. 

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