Public Bitcoin miners collectively held 115,335 BTC as of Feb. 20, price roughly $7.4 billion on the current worth, however that treasury dropped 4.44% month-over-month, the primary sustained contraction since miners started stockpiling cash as balance-sheet belongings.
The decline wasn’t an accident. Riot Platforms offered 1,818 BTC in December 2025 for $161.6 million in internet proceeds. Bitdeer liquidated its total treasury, promoting 189.8 BTC it mined plus dumping 943.1 BTC from reserves to fund a pivot into AI infrastructure backed by $300 million in convertible notes.
The sample suggests miner treasuries are shifting from strategic reserves to working capital, and the timing issues.
The market-implied hash worth for the following six months sits round $28.73 per petahash per day, a stage that makes older mining fleets uneconomic and forces operators to decide on between promoting Bitcoin, diluting fairness, or elevating costly debt.
The setup compresses miner margins from a number of instructions. Bitcoin’s April 2024 halving lower block subsidies to three.125 BTC, decreasing day by day issuance to roughly 450 BTC. Transaction charges now contribute successfully zero to miner income, as CoinShares described charges as “decisively under 1%” of whole miner revenue.
Mining issue rose roughly 14.73% on Feb. 19 to round 144.40 terahash, whereas hashprice dropped again under $30 per petahash per day.
VanEck’s mid-February 2026 evaluation flagged the Antminer S19 XP as uneconomical above roughly $0.07 per kilowatt-hour underneath present circumstances.
Riot’s third-quarter 2025 metrics illustrated the squeeze: the corporate’s value to mine one Bitcoin was roughly $46,000 excluding depreciation, however $89,000 together with capital tools write-downs.
With Bitcoin buying and selling within the mid-$60,000 vary throughout components of early 2026, the hole between all-in value and spot worth narrowed to the purpose the place treasury gross sales grew to become a rational type of liquidity administration.
CompanyTreasury stanceBTC offered (interval)Money raised / proceedsRemaining BTC (post-action)Funding moveStated use of fundsRiot Platforms (RIOT)Selective liquidation (monetize a slice, hold most reserves)1,818 BTC (Dec 2025)$161.6M internet proceeds from BTC sales18,005 BTCTreasury sale for liquidity (vs. full exit)Operational liquidity / balance-sheet administration whereas persevering with to carry a big BTC reserveBitdeer (BTDR)Full exit / zeroed treasury (treasury used as capex gasoline)1,132.9 BTC whole (reported Feb 2026): 189.8 BTC mined + 943.1 BTC from reserves$300M convertible notes (plus $45M choice); BTC-sale proceeds not specified within the report0 BTCConvertible notes + treasury liquidationAI/information heart enlargement, AI cloud infrastructure, and mining {hardware} (AI pivot / HPC-style capex)
Treasuries as days of recent issuance
At roughly 450 BTC per day in new issuance, the 115,335 BTC held by public miners represents roughly 256 days of recent provide.
A ten% liquidation would launch round 11,533 BTC, equal to 26 days of miner issuance. A 25% drawdown would quantity to twenty-eight,834 BTC, or 64 days of provide.
The seen stock pool issues as a result of it seems on audited stability sheets and is topic to quarterly disclosure necessities.
Not like decentralized mining operations, public miners report holdings and gross sales in SEC filings, making their treasuries essentially the most clear supply of marginal provide.
Treasury focus amplifies the dynamic. Marathon Digital holds 52,850 BTC, Riot Platforms 18,005 BTC, CleanSpark 13,513 BTC, and Hut 8 Mining 10,278 BTC.
These 4 names management the majority of disclosed reserves, which means promote strain is a operate of how these corporations fund operations when hashprice stays weak.
Bitdeer’s trajectory exhibits the intense case: the corporate zeroed out its Bitcoin treasury whereas saying $300 million in convertibles for information heart enlargement, AI cloud infrastructure, and mining {hardware}.
The pivot reframes Bitcoin holdings as capex gasoline, and if hash worth stays close to present ranges, different miners might observe swimsuit.
The ahead market is pricing sustained stress
Luxor’s hashprice ahead market presents a quasi-forecast derived from market contributors hedging future profitability.
As of Feb. 16, the ahead curve priced the typical hash fee at $28.73 per petahash per day over the following six months. That pricing suggests the market would not anticipate a fast rebound in profitability.
CoinShares floated the likelihood that world hashrate might attain 1.5 zettahash per second by mid-2026 if aggressive capability enlargement continues. A rising hashrate with out a proportional improve in Bitcoin’s worth would compress the hashprice additional.
The problem adjustment mechanism creates timing danger. Problem will increase lag hashrate surges, which means miners can expertise momentary profitability enhancements when hashrate drops, solely to see issue modify upward and erase these features weeks later.
A Feb. 22 evaluation framed current issue swings as a “issue up, hashprice down, charges skinny” surroundings that arrived exactly when miners wanted aid. The mismatch between when income improves and when issue recalibrates creates money stream volatility that pushes operators towards preemptive treasury gross sales.
Selective liquidation vs full exit
Riot’s December 2025 gross sales supply one playbook.
The corporate offered 1,818 BTC for $161.6 million, decreasing holdings to 18,005 BTC whereas retaining nearly all of its treasury. The strategy indicators confidence that Bitcoin’s long-term trajectory justifies holding most reserves, even when short-term liquidity wants require partial monetization.
Riot’s value construction, with mining prices round $46,000 per BTC excluding depreciation, suggests the corporate can generate constructive money stream if Bitcoin stays above that threshold.
Bitdeer represents the other excessive. The corporate liquidated its total Bitcoin treasury, changing reserves into capital for AI and information heart enlargement. The transfer reframes mining as one income line inside a diversified infrastructure enterprise.
Bitdeer’s $300 million convertible notes financing exhibits the corporate betting it will probably generate higher returns by deploying capital into AI cloud companies than holding Bitcoin.
If different miners conclude that AI infrastructure or energy monetization presents larger risk-adjusted returns, comparable treasury drawdowns might observe.
The BTC runway calculation
The true query is not whether or not miners will promote, however which miners should promote and the way a lot.
A simplified liquidity evaluation ranks miners by their “BTC runway,” which is the variety of months they’ll cowl working prices, curiosity, and capital commitments utilizing money, undrawn credit score amenities, and convertible debt issuance, earlier than needing to liquidate Bitcoin.
Miners with strong liquidity cushions can wait out low hash fee environments, whereas operators with skinny money buffers face strain to monetize their treasuries.
Offsets complicate the image. Internet hosting income from third-party miners, HPC contracts, energy curtailment funds, and tools gross sales can generate money stream unbiased of Bitcoin mining.
Hedging methods utilizing futures or choices can lock in ahead costs. Miners with diversified income streams face totally different funding pressures than pure-play Bitcoin miners, who rely solely on block rewards and treasury appreciation.
Promote strain will not arrive uniformly, it should focus amongst operators with the shortest runways and the fewest various funding sources.
The market is already signaling stress
Glassnode’s Puell A number of, a metric that compares day by day miner income to its 365-day shifting common, stood at 0.673 as of Feb. 23.
Readings under 1.0 point out that miner income sits under its one-year common, a situation that traditionally precedes both trade consolidation or compelled asset gross sales.
VanEck’s evaluation of the S19 XP threshold being uneconomical above roughly $0.07 per kilowatt-hour issues as a result of electrical energy prices throughout the trade aren’t uniform.
Miners working in jurisdictions with low cost hydro or stranded fuel take pleasure in margins that persist even because the hash worth weakens. Operators in higher-cost areas face binary outcomes: relocate, improve to extra environment friendly {hardware}, or shut down.
Treasuries grow to be funding variables
The shift from HODL narrative to working capital device reframes how the market ought to interpret miner stability sheets.
Public miners constructed treasuries during times when the hash fee supported worthwhile operations, and Bitcoin’s worth appreciated sooner than returns from various investments. That surroundings is reversed.
Hash worth ahead curves sign sustained weak spot, transaction charges contribute negligibly, and tools obsolescence accelerates as issue rises.
The seen stock pool of 115,335 BTC throughout public miners represents 256 days of recent provide at present issuance charges, making even modest liquidation percentages significant within the day by day market context.
Riot and Bitdeer demonstrated the vary of responses: selective treasury gross sales to protect optionality versus full liquidation to fund diversification.
The variations lie in capital entry, income diversification, and administration’s view of Bitcoin’s risk-adjusted returns. So long as ahead hashprice expectations stay close to $28.73 per petahash per day and older fleets flip uneconomic above $0.07 per kilowatt-hour, miner treasuries will operate as a funding variable, not a HODL sign.
The market’s job is monitoring which miners promote, how a lot, and whether or not the gross sales signify tactical liquidity administration or systematic de-risking.
