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Cardano rallies 11% in May, but analysts warn of downside risk

May 28, 2025
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ADA is presently priced at $0.7677, down 0.04% within the final 24 hours.
A bullish MACD crossover has shaped, supporting short-term upside.
ADA futures open curiosity dropped 0.43% to $920.12 million.

Cardano (ADA) has recorded an 11% month-to-month achieve up to now in Could, buoyed by a technical bounce from the $0.72 help stage.

Nonetheless, underlying market indicators elevate warning.

Regardless of current bullish momentum, ADA continues to wrestle inside a decent buying and selling vary and faces potential bearish strain from weakening derivatives information.

On the time of writing, ADA is priced at $0.7677, reflecting a minor 0.04% decline during the last 24 hours.

Cardano price
Supply: CoinMarketCap

On the 4-hour chart, ADA rebounded from the 200-period exponential transferring common (EMA) at $0.74, climbing towards a short-term resistance stage of $0.7745.

This motion marks the newest try to retest the $0.84 resistance zone, which Cardano final approached on 13 Could and 23 Could.

But, the upside transfer has been met with hesitation.

The token stays caught between the important thing $0.72 and $0.77 ranges — a variety that analysts are intently monitoring as a “no-trade zone” attributable to restricted directional readability.

Blended technical indicators

At the moment, ADA is consolidating above the 200-day EMA, with the transferring common construction providing some near-term help.

The MACD indicator has shaped a bullish crossover, additional confirmed by optimistic histogram bars.

This setup means that patrons nonetheless preserve some management over short-term value motion.

Nonetheless, not all technical indicators are aligned. A bearish crossover between the 50- and 100-day EMAs is starting to type.

If ADA breaks under the 200-day EMA, this crossover may lead to a “dying cross” situation — a traditionally bearish technical sample that always indicators prolonged declines.

Cardano’s means to take care of momentum will possible rely upon whether or not it may break via the $0.77 resistance barrier.

A profitable breach may result in a rally again towards the $0.84 stage.

In distinction, failure to carry above $0.72 may see ADA retesting longer-term help close to $0.70.

Derivatives information weakens

Whereas spot costs maintain agency, information from the derivatives market presents a much less optimistic view.

In line with CoinGlass, open curiosity in ADA futures contracts has declined 0.43% to $920.12 million.

This declining exercise within the derivatives house displays weakening dealer curiosity and reduces the probability of a powerful breakout.

It additionally signifies that giant speculative positions are being trimmed or closed, a pattern that always results in value consolidation or short-term reversals.

ADA at a crucial stage

Cardano’s value motion now is dependent upon whether or not it may decisively escape of its present vary.

Whereas there’s potential for a transfer again to $0.84 if bulls regain momentum, present market dynamics recommend ADA may stay range-bound and even expertise renewed promoting strain.

Volatility within the broader crypto market has additionally contributed to ADA’s stagnation.

Bitcoin is presently holding close to the $109,000 stage, and main altcoins are consolidating after sturdy April rallies.

With out a sturdy catalyst, Cardano might wrestle to draw recent inflows within the brief time period.

As of now, ADA stays in a technical holding sample, with each bullish and bearish eventualities in play.

The subsequent few buying and selling periods shall be crucial in figuring out whether or not Cardano can reclaim its March highs — or face one other leg decrease.

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