Samson Mow, a well known Bitcoin entrepreneur and founder/CEO of JAN3, warned that current positive factors in Ether might be brief lived as some buyers transfer income again into Bitcoin.
In accordance with his put up, many ETH consumers already maintain Bitcoin — typically from ICOs or insider positions — and are rotating that BTC into ETH to drive costs up.
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He argued that when Ether reaches a excessive sufficient stage, those self same holders could promote, leaving a contemporary set of consumers holding the bag.
“Nobody needs ETH in the long term,” he wrote, and he referred to as the promoting strain close to massive value marks a “Bagholder’s Dilemma.”
ETH/BTC Strikes Increase Questions
Primarily based on reviews, the ETH/BTC ratio has jumped to about 0.036 on TradingView, up from a five-and-a-half-year low of 0.018 in April.
That rise has come whereas Ether surged in value; the token topped $4,310 in late buying and selling on Sunday and posted a weekly acquire of 21%.
Let me clarify what’s taking place with ETHBTC.
Most ETH holders have loads of BTC (ICO/insiders) and they’re rotating that BTC into ETH to pump it on new narratives (Ethereum Treasury co’s).
As soon as they’ve gotten it excessive sufficient, they’ll dump their ETH, creating new generational…
— Samson Mow (@Excellion) August 10, 2025
These numbers put Ether roughly 10% from its 2021 all-time excessive of $4,880. For proponents of Bitcoin, these shifts appear like a rotation again to altcoins that would reverse as soon as sellers take income.
Some market watchers learn the identical details in another way. They see the current ETH surge as a bullish signal and anticipate a extra complicated cycle: Ether may hit a contemporary peak and spark a mini altseason.
After that, capital could move again into Bitcoin till BTC reaches about $140,000, earlier than rotating once more into Ether and different altcoins — a back-and-forth that has performed out in previous bull runs and makes a neat, one-way commerce unlikely.
Flows, Use Instances And On-Chain Indicators
Stories have disclosed that institutional curiosity and new methods are additionally a part of the story. Nick Ruck, director at LVRG Analysis, pointed to institutional demand and “technique reserve performs” as drivers behind Ether’s climb to $4,300.
In accordance with Ruk, larger curiosity has helped DeFi platforms carry complete worth locked. Staking, yield ways and burning of charges change provide dynamics in contrast with earlier cycles, and people elements make at this time’s rally totally different from the ICO-era rotations Mow described.
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Technical indicators add one other layer. Ether’s weekly candle closed at ranges not seen since November 2021, which supplies momentum merchants one thing to observe.
On the identical time, Bitcoin dominance has slid by about 10% since late June, displaying capital has already shifted into altcoins in current weeks.
These two developments can coexist — sturdy ETH momentum plus a still-present threat that profit-taking will set off a reversal.
Featured picture from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
