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Will Bitcoin Follow Gold in Q4? BTC USD Price Analysis For Monthly Close as Bears Target CME Gap

October 1, 2025
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Bitcoin (BTC USD) worth closed September close to $113,400, slipping from an intraday excessive of $114,842 as buying and selling wrapped up on September 30. The late-month pause got here as gold pushed to recent all-time highs, renewing debate over whether or not Bitcoin would possibly comply with bullion’s lead into This autumn.

Gold’s surge set the tone for the shut. As per Reuters report, Spot XAU/USD touched roughly $3,871 per ounce on Sept. 30, lifted by US authorities shutdown issues and expectations that the Federal Reserve might lean towards coverage easing. 

Market watchers say a softer yield backdrop may assist danger property, together with Bitcoin, within the weeks forward.

DISCOVER: High 20 Crypto to Purchase in 2025

CME Hole at $110,00 Stays Close to-Time period Draw back Goal for Bears

For Bitcoin, $115,000 now stands out as the primary upside set off, whereas a Chicago Mercantile Change “hole” close to $110,000 stays a near-term draw back magnet. 

Merchants described the newest motion as consolidation, noting parallels between BTC’s setup and gold’s breakout sample. 

“The breakout is coded. Subsequent cease: worth discovery mode,” one analyst posted.

BITCOIN IS FOLLOWING GOLD’S SCRIPT.

Gold: shakeout into ATH.Bitcoin: similar consolidation, similar lure.

The breakout is coded.Subsequent cease: worth discovery mode. pic.twitter.com/GorMcCq7Ao

— Merlijn The Dealer (@MerlijnTrader) September 30, 2025

In line with Farside traders’ information, US spot Bitcoin funds recorded a web +$518M influx on Sept. 29, the strongest each day consumption of the week, partly offsetting earlier outflows. 

Information for September 30 was not finalized by press time.

(Supply: Farside Buyers)

Perpetual futures funding stayed modestly optimistic throughout exchanges, suggesting a gentle lengthy bias with out the overheated positioning that usually marks native tops.

(Supply: Coinglass)

With This autumn underway, Bitcoin bulls are watching to see if gold’s document rally proves a number one sign or if draw back dangers tied to the $110K hole pull costs decrease earlier than any sustained push above $115K.

DISCOVER: 16+ New and Upcoming Binance Listings in 2025

Bitcoin Worth Prediction: BTC Poised for This autumn Upside as Tether Provides $1B and Gold Correlation Alerts Rally

Bitcoin (BTC) is discovering recent assist after blockchain intelligence agency Arkham reported that Tether bought $1Bn value of the asset. 

TETHER JUST BOUGHT $1 BILLION USD OF BITCOIN

TETHER IS BULLISH ON $BTC pic.twitter.com/JourxhhHXo

— Arkham (@arkham) September 30, 2025

The transfer alerts robust institutional demand and provides weight to bullish expectations heading into the ultimate quarter of the 12 months.

Market analysts say Bitcoin’s worth motion is shaping up for an additional try at larger ranges, regardless of a quick dip on Tuesday. 

Crypto dealer Michaël van de Poppe described the current retreat as a “slight pullback,” noting that BTC has already cleared an necessary resistance space. 

As you may see, #Bitcoin broke by way of a vital resistance zone and has a ton of upwards potential.

I’d assume that we'll have a slight pullback and begin operating upwards from there.

It's purchase the dip season and I believe we'll see a brand new ATH in October. pic.twitter.com/smMiW0Jt2I

— Michaël van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL) September 30, 2025

“Bitcoin broke by way of a vital resistance zone and nonetheless has vital room to run larger,” he mentioned in a market replace.

On the time of writing, BTC trades close to $112,800, down about 1.2% on the day. 

The each day chart exhibits the coin consolidating under the $115,000–$118,000 band, the place it has confronted repeated rejection over the previous three months. 

Nonetheless, consumers have held the $109,000 stage, framing the present transfer as a correction inside a broader uptrend relatively than a reversal.

Analyst Ted, who tracks the correlation between Bitcoin and gold, famous that BTC tends to lag behind gold’s actions by a median of eight weeks. 

$BTC has been extremely correlated to Gold with an 8-week lag.

Proper now, Gold is hitting new highs, which implies Bitcoin will do that subsequent.

Possibly we may see one other correction, however total This autumn will likely be massive for Bitcoin. pic.twitter.com/RkOTTgsfG3

— Ted (@TedPillows) September 30, 2025

Gold just lately climbed above $3,800 per ounce, marking a brand new excessive. If Bitcoin follows the identical path, it may goal resistance close to $125,000 and doubtlessly larger, echoing previous late-year rallies.

Merchants stay cautious in regards to the close to time period. One other correction towards the $109,000–$110,000 zone stays potential earlier than momentum picks up once more. 

A decisive shut above $118,000 would affirm a bullish continuation.

(Supply: X)

With Tether’s billion-dollar purchase and gold’s document run forming the backdrop, sentiment is tilting optimistic. This autumn has traditionally been certainly one of Bitcoin’s strongest intervals, and plenty of see the stage set for an additional try at recent highs earlier than the top of the 12 months.

DISCOVER: 15+ Upcoming Coinbase Listings to Watch in 2025

The submit Will Bitcoin Comply with Gold in This autumn? BTC USD Worth Evaluation For Month-to-month Shut as Bears Goal CME Hole appeared first on 99Bitcoins.





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Tags: AnalysisBearsBitcoinBTCcloseCMEfollowGapgoldMonthlyPriceTargetUSD
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