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New BlackRock report exposes a historic shift in crypto that leaves only one blockchain controlling the settlement layer

January 10, 2026
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Stablecoins was once a crypto comfort, a method to park {dollars} between trades with out touching fiat. Nonetheless, the trade has matured sufficient that BlackRock now treats them as foundational rails for the market.

In its 2026 International Outlook, the BlackRock Funding Institute argued that stablecoins are widening past exchanges and changing into built-in into mainstream cost techniques. It additionally mentioned they may increase in cross-border transfers and day-to-day use in rising markets.

That framing issues as a result of it shifts the query buyers ask, particularly when it comes from a reputation as massive as BlackRock.

The purpose right here isn’t whether or not stablecoins are good for crypto. The query is whether or not they’re on monitor to develop into a settlement rail that sits beside, and generally inside, conventional finance.

In the event that they do, which blockchains will find yourself appearing like the bottom layer for closing settlement, collateral, and tokenized money?

BlackRock places the stakes bluntly. “Stablecoins are not area of interest,” the report quotes Samara Cohen, BlackRock’s international head of market improvement.

They’re “changing into the bridge between conventional finance and digital liquidity.”

From buying and selling chip to funds rail

Stablecoins started thriving on crypto volatility. Markets swing, banks shut on weekends, and exchanges depend on a patchwork of fiat rails for redemptions.

Greenback-pegged tokens solved that operational downside by giving merchants a 24/7 unit of account and settlement asset.

BlackRock’s emphasis is that stablecoins have now outgrown that area of interest. The agency mentioned integration into mainstream cost techniques and cross-border funds is a pure subsequent step, particularly the place latency, charges, and correspondent banking friction stay stubbornly excessive.

One cause the timing feels proper is regulatory. Within the US, the GENIUS Act was signed into regulation on July 18, 2025, making a federal framework for cost stablecoins, together with reserve and disclosure necessities.

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That sort of authorized readability doesn’t assure mass adoption. However it modifications the danger calculus for banks, giant retailers, and cost networks that need to reply to compliance groups and regulators.

The market’s scale can be not theoretical. Complete stablecoin worth stood round $298 billion as of Jan. 5, 2026, with USDT and USDC nonetheless dominating the stack.

BlackRock’s report, utilizing CoinGecko information by Nov. 27, 2025, notes stablecoins hit file highs in market cap at the same time as crypto costs fluctuated. It highlights their function because the system’s main supply of “greenback liquidity and on-chain stability.”

That mixture of authorized recognition and sheer measurement is why stablecoins have began to point out up in locations they by no means used to, just like the again workplace of world funds.

Visa provided a concrete instance in December 2025. The corporate mentioned it had launched USDC settlement within the US, permitting issuer and acquirer companions to settle with Visa in Circle’s greenback stablecoin.

Visa mentioned preliminary banking contributors settled over Solana. It framed the transfer as a method to modernize its settlement layer with sooner motion of funds, seven-day availability, and resilience throughout weekends and holidays.

Stablecoins are transferring into the a part of finance that’s normally invisible till it breaks: settlement.

Settlement is the place the worth accrues

If stablecoins are actually successfully digital {dollars}, the following query is the place these {dollars} dwell because the system scales.

As stablecoins transfer towards extra complicated makes use of, resembling collateral, treasury administration, tokenized money-market funds, and cross-border netting, the bottom layer issues greater than advertising and marketing. That layer wants predictable finality, deep liquidity, strong tooling, and a governance and safety mannequin establishments can belief for many years, not only a cycle.

That is the place Ethereum might step in.

Ethereum’s worth proposition in 2026 isn’t that it’s the most affordable chain for sending a stablecoin. Loads of networks compete there, and Visa’s Solana pilot is a reminder that high-throughput chains have a seat on the desk.

The case for Ethereum is that it has develop into the anchor layer for an ecosystem that treats execution and settlement as separate features.

BC Game

Ethereum’s personal documentation makes that express within the context of rollups, the place Ethereum acts because the settlement layer that anchors safety and offers goal finality if disputes happen on one other chain.

So when customers transfer quick and low cost on L2s, the bottom chain nonetheless performs referee. The extra priceless the exercise being settled, the extra priceless the referee function turns into.

Tokenization is quietly steering establishments towards Ethereum

BlackRock’s stablecoin part can be a tokenization story. The report describes stablecoins as a “modest however significant step towards a tokenized monetary system,” the place digital {dollars} coexist with, and generally reshape, conventional channels of intermediation and coverage transmission.

Tokenization turns that summary thought right into a balance-sheet actuality. It means issuing a declare on a real-world asset, resembling a Treasury invoice fund, on a blockchain.

Stablecoins then function the money leg for subscriptions, redemptions, and secondary-market buying and selling.

On that entrance, Ethereum remains to be the middle of gravity. RWA.xyz exhibits Ethereum internet hosting about $12.5 billion in tokenized real-world property, roughly a 65% market share as of Jan. 5, 2026.

BlackRock itself helped construct that gravitational pull. Its tokenized money-market fund, BUIDL, debuted on Ethereum and later expanded to a number of chains, together with Solana and several other Ethereum L2s, as tokenized Treasuries grew to become one of many clearest real-world use circumstances for on-chain finance.

Even on a multi-chain footprint, the institutional sample is telling: begin the place liquidity, custody integrations, and good contract requirements are most mature, then prolong outward as distribution channels develop.

JPMorgan has been transferring in the identical course. The financial institution launched a tokenized money-market fund with shares represented by digital tokens on Ethereum.

It accepted subscriptions in money or USDC and tied the push partly to the stablecoin regulatory shift that adopted the GENIUS Act.

This means stablecoins don’t simply want a quick community for funds. Additionally they want a reputable settlement cloth for tokenized collateral, yield-bearing money equivalents, and institutional-grade finance.

Ethereum has develop into the default reply to that want, not as a result of it wins each benchmark, however as a result of it has develop into the settlement court docket the place essentially the most priceless circumstances are heard.

The wager isn’t risk-free

BlackRock’s outlook contains warning embedded within the alternative. In rising markets, it notes stablecoins might broaden greenback entry whereas difficult financial management if home forex use declines.

That’s a political economic system downside, not a tech downside. It’s additionally the sort that may set off restrictive coverage responses in precisely the locations the place stablecoins have product-market match.

There are additionally issuer dangers. Stablecoins aren’t all the identical, and market construction can activate belief.

S&P International Rankings downgraded its evaluation of Tether’s reserves in November 2025, citing considerations about restricted transparency. It was a reminder that the steadiness of the system can hinge on what sits behind the peg.

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Ethereum additionally isn’t assured to be the one settlement layer that issues. Visa’s USDC settlement work exhibits giant gamers are prepared to route stablecoin settlement over different chains when it matches their operational wants.

Circle positions USDC as natively supported throughout dozens of networks, a technique that makes stablecoin liquidity transportable and reduces dependence on any single chain.

However portability cuts each methods. As stablecoins unfold, the premium shifts to layers that may present credible settlement, integration with tokenized property, and a safety mannequin sturdy sufficient to influence establishments they will park actual money and actual collateral on-chain with out waking as much as a governance shock.

That’s why ETH is a possible wager on the settlement normal for tokenized {dollars}. If stablecoins have gotten what BlackRock says they’re, a bridge between conventional finance and digital liquidity, the bridge nonetheless wants bedrock.

Within the present structure of the crypto market, Ethereum is the bedrock most establishments maintain returning to.

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