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Bear market confirmed? This analyst says yes

March 18, 2025
in Altcoin
Reading Time: 5 mins read
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Plus: Brazil needs to pay employees in crypto

GM. Crypto’s like a ripe guava – should you wait too lengthy, it turns into mush, however should you chew in too early, it’s all onerous and bitter. One strategy to discover out, proper?

🇧🇷 Brazilians would possibly obtain their salaries in crypto.

🍋 Information drops: LIBRA drama is heating up, the Solana advert individuals hated + extra

🍍 Market taste in the present day

These previous few weeks, crypto’s been proving why cry is true there within the title.

Bitcoin’s down 24% from its all-time excessive of $109K reached in January. And whereas dips like this aren’t uncommon in bull markets, Bitfinex analysts mentioned that this one’s completely different.

Usually, Bitcoin doesn’t keep down for lengthy, due to sturdy institutional shopping for. However this time, demand’s wanting fairly weak – simply check out Bitcoin ETFs, which had nearly $1B in outflows final week.

It will get worse, don’t fret.

Brief-term holders are sitting on losses, which implies many are panic-selling and pushing costs down even additional.

If no new patrons step in to purchase the dip, Bitcoin might both drag sideways for some time or drop decrease as weak palms get shaken out.

Now, the excellent news? There are giant patrons:

Bitcoin ETFs are recovering – after final week’s catastrophe, they’d $274.6M in inflows yesterday;

Michael Saylor’s Technique purchased one other 130 BTC. It’s their smallest purchase ever, however hey, nonetheless one thing;

Metaplanet, aka the Technique of Japan (aspect observe: I hate that it is not MicroStrategy – phrases like this sound hella complicated now), is elevating about $13M to purchase extra BTC;

New Bitcoin whales amassed over 200K BTC simply this month.

However… is it sufficient?

CryptoQuant CEO Ki Younger Ju isn’t satisfied. He warned that liquidity is drying up, and a few whales are offloading BTC at decrease costs.

Matter of reality, he mentioned that each main on-chain metric is signaling a bear market 🙃

If issues maintain heading this fashion, we may be caught in 6–12 months of sideways or bearish value motion earlier than any actual restoration.

And US macroeconomic components aren’t serving to a lot both.

Retail gross sales grew 0.2% in February, beneath the anticipated 0.6%.

If traders take this as an indication of a slowing financial system, we might see even weaker liquidity and threat urge for food, which is… not so bullish for crypto.

However there’s a wildcard: the Fed. In the event that they have a look at these numbers and determine it’s time to ease rates of interest, crypto might catch a break.

Tomorrow’s FOMC assembly ought to give us some clues. Fingers crossed, y’all.

Divider

🥝 Memecoin harvest

Memecoins which are pumping more durable than my caffeine dependancy ☕️

Information as of 07:50 AM EST.

Take a look at these memecoins and lots extra right here.

Divider

Explanation why Brazil is goated:

Rio Carnival;

Brazilian funk;

Pelé;

This:

Federal deputy Luiz Philippe de Orleans e Bragança launched a invoice that may let employees in Brazil obtain a part of their salaries in crypto.

Me becoming Brazil man

In fact, there are just a few circumstances to maintain issues in verify:

At the least 50% of your wage should be paid in Brazilian actual (BRL);

Freelancers and unbiased contractors might go full degen and receives a commission solely in crypto if their contracts permit it;

The alternate charge should be set by a monetary establishment approved by Brazil’s Central Financial institution. So no, your employer can’t pay you in “low cost Bitcoin” they discovered within the backrooms.

Why would they need this? Effectively, Brazil is already a rising crypto hub, and this might entice much more funding, startups, fintech innovation, and firms shifting in.

And if this passes, it might be a game-changer for crypto adoption, too.

Extra employees getting paid in crypto = extra companies accepting crypto = snowball impact;

If it really works, different nations would possibly comply with swimsuit.

Now, right here’s the place it will get even juicier: if extra employees begin receiving BTC as a part of their salaries, demand naturally will increase.

Not like crypto merchants who purchase and promote based mostly on market swings, salaried employees receives a commission recurrently – which means a constant, predictable circulate of cash into BTC.

And if even a fraction of Brazil’s workforce begins holding their wage in crypto as an alternative of cashing out instantly, that’s a gradual supply of purchase strain.

So yeah, should you see us sipping caipirinhas on a seashore in Brazil quickly… thoughts what you are promoting 🍹

Now you are within the know. However take into consideration your mates – they most likely do not know. I ponder who might repair that… 😃🫵

Unfold the phrase and be the hero you realize you might be!

Divider

🍋 Information drops

⚖️ The LIBRA drama is heading to the Supreme Court docket of New York. A brand new lawsuit claims its creators misled traders and drained over $100M from one-sided liquidity swimming pools.

✊ Solana eliminated an advert from X after going through backlash. The video featured “America” in remedy, getting instructed to give attention to pronouns as an alternative of innovation. The takeaway: performative activism is at all times cringe no matter political ideology.

🤨 Elon Musk claims he’s discovered a minimum of 14 authorities cash printers operating on autopilot. Businesses like Treasury and Protection are apparently sending cash with out clear oversight.

⚠️ A brand new malware is stealing crypto from Chrome pockets extensions. It scans your system, takes login particulars, and checks your clipboard for passwords and personal keys. Principally, should you copy-paste your seed phrase, contemplate it gone.

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🍌 Juicy memes



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Tags: AnalystbearCONFIRMEDMarket
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