Prediction Market Kalshi’s Valuation Jumps to $11B After Reported $1B Raise

U.S. prediction market platform Kalshi has reportedly pushed its valuation to roughly $11 billion after elevating $1 billion in a but undisclosed funding spherical, in keeping with an preliminary report from TechCrunch citing a supply with information of the deal.

The rise in valuation marks one of many quickest step-ups within the prediction market sector this 12 months.

The corporate closed the spherical weeks after securing $300 million at a $5 billion valuation in October. Buying and selling exercise, market depth, and person adoption continued to climb into this 12 months’s ultimate quarter.

Kalshi’s annualized buying and selling quantity reached about $50 billion final month, in keeping with a report from crypto analytics platform CryptoRank. The determine marks a dramatic leap from roughly $300 million only a 12 months in the past, as reported by the New York Occasions.

It has additionally outpaced Polymarket, its foremost rival. Simply final month, it generated roughly $4.4 billion in buying and selling quantity, surpassing Polymarket’s $4.1 billion throughout the identical month.



A couple of third of bets on Kalshi are for sports-related markets, in keeping with a Dune dashboard. Weekly notional quantity amongst prediction markets have additionally been on a gentle rise since September, in keeping with a broader dashboard from the identical maintainer.

Sequoia Capital and CapitalG reportedly led the deal, joined by Andreessen Horowitz, Paradigm, Anthos Capital, Neo, and different returning backers.

Kalshi’s elevate “simply reveals the ceiling is barely getting greater for prediction markets, and we haven’t seen something but,” Farokh Sarmad, co-founder and president of rival prediction market platform Myriad, advised Decrypt. (Disclosure: Myriad is owned by Decrypt’s guardian firm Dastan).

Kalshi declined to remark for this text. Decrypt has reached out to all named buyers, and can replace this text ought to any reply.



Prediction markets and regulators

Prediction markets have lengthy confronted authorized friction within the U.S., given how such platforms sit between regulated derivatives and prohibited playing—making a jurisdictional rigidity that has thus far formed the business’s development.

Kalshi gained a high-profile lawsuit final 12 months towards the Commodity Futures Buying and selling Fee, securing the suitable to supply election markets to U.S. customers. The ruling accelerated home development, however opened new fronts with state regulators who view sure varieties of contracts as playing merchandise moderately than federally ruled derivatives.

In Could, the Commodity Futures Buying and selling Fee moved to drop its enchantment towards Kalshi’s victory in a case permitting the corporate to supply U.S. contracts on election outcomes. Nonetheless, the corporate has concurrent disputes with a number of state regulators who argue its contracts nonetheless fall below playing statutes moderately than commodities regulation.

Months later, its rival Polymarket acquired approval from the identical regulator to function within the U.S., years after it was fined and pushed offshore over allegations that it did not adjust to the regulator’s federal insurance policies.